About · Editorial Policy
Editorial Policy
How DissMarket publishes: house bylines, human oversight, open methodology. We've written this page so you don't have to ask.
Editorial bylines on DissMarket
Some pieces published on DissMarket appear under editorial pen names — currently Marcus Halberg (Methodology desk), Jay Donegan (Markets desk), and Mira Espinoza (Public Opinion desk). These are house bylines for our editorial desks. They are not the names of people listed in our company filings.
Pen-name bylines are a longstanding practice in publications that prioritise consistent editorial voice and beat coverage over individual reputation. The Economist's house columns, Foreign Policy, and many subscriber newsletters use the same convention.
What this means in practice:
- Every published piece is reviewed and approved by Neil Gallacher, DissMarket's founder, before publication.
- Some drafting is AI-assisted; final editorial judgment is human.
- Our methodology, our data, and our scoring are published openly under our real legal entity.
- When journalists or researchers cite DissMarket, the citation is to the data and the institution — not to the byline.
For press inquiries, data licensing, or methodology questions: press@dissmarket.com or hello@dissmarket.com.
If you want to know who we are, our corporate filings are public.
Methodology, briefly
DissMarket measures the gap between what prediction markets price and what the wider public actually thinks. Our methodology — including how we score voter calibration, how we weight votes by tier, and how we publish the DissMarket Index — is documented in full at our public Index hub. It is open. It is auditable. We publish a methodology changelog every time anything material changes.
If you find an error in our methodology or our data, write to hello@dissmarket.com. We publish corrections.
Sources
We cite Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Metaculus, Silver Bulletin, YouGov, Morning Consult, Pew Research, Reuters/Ipsos, and academic literature where relevant. Our charts are embeddable. Our data, when published, is licensable.
Contact
| For | |
|---|---|
| Press inquiries, embargo requests, comment | press@dissmarket.com |
| Data licensing, partnerships | partners@dissmarket.com |
| Methodology questions, corrections | hello@dissmarket.com |
| Legal | legal@dissmarket.com |